You spend 13 hours and $270 preparing your federal tax return. That's the IRS's own estimate for the average individual filer. Multiply that across 150 million returns and you get roughly 2 billion hours and $40 billion in preparation costs β every single year. Before a dollar goes to roads, schools, or defense, America spends $40 billion just figuring out what it owes.
That number doesn't include what businesses spend. Small businesses pay an average of $12,000 annually in tax compliance costs. Larger firms spend millions. The total compliance burden across all taxpayers is estimated at $546 billion per year β nearly 3% of GDP, consumed by paperwork.
This isn't taxation. This is a tax on top of the tax. And it's designed to be this way.
Every page of the 75,000-page tax code exists because someone with a lobbyist got an exemption that someone without a lobbyist pays for.
Who Benefits from Complexity
A Fortune 500 company employs a team of tax attorneys and accountants whose sole job is to minimize the effective tax rate. They find every deduction, credit, carve-out, and loophole that 75,000 pages of code provide. The result: companies with billions in revenue routinely pay effective tax rates in the single digits. Some pay nothing.
You can't do that. You don't have a team. You have TurboTax and a weekend you'd rather spend doing anything else. The complexity of the tax code is functionally a regressive system β not because the rates are regressive, but because the ability to exploit the code scales with wealth.
The more you can afford to spend on accountants, the less you pay in taxes. That's not a bug. That's the business model of a 75,000-page tax code. Every exemption and deduction was lobbied into existence by someone who could afford to lobby. You pay full freight. They pay what they negotiate.
Since the 1970s, the wealth share of the top 0.01% has tripled. The tax code didn't cause all of that β but it's the mechanism that locks it in. When the rules are so complex that only the wealthy can navigate them, complexity itself becomes the engine of inequality.
The Small Business Penalty
A woman opens a bakery. She's good at baking. She's not good at navigating depreciation schedules, quarterly estimated payments, self-employment tax calculations, home office deductions, and the 47 different forms the IRS might want from a sole proprietor.
She has two choices: spend 15+ hours a month on tax compliance herself, or pay an accountant $3,000β$8,000 a year to do it. Either way, that's time and money not spent on the business β not spent hiring, not spent on better ingredients, not spent on the thing she's actually good at.
Scale this across 33 million small businesses in America. The National Federation of Independent Business reports that tax complexity is consistently among the top three concerns for small business owners β ahead of inflation, ahead of labor quality. Not the tax rate. The complexity.
You could lower tax rates to zero and small businesses would still lose thousands of hours a year to compliance. The rate isn't the problem. The 75,000 pages are the problem.
Meanwhile, the bakery's competitor β a chain with 500 locations β has a tax department. The compliance cost per location is negligible. The chain finds deductions the bakery owner doesn't know exist. The tax code isn't neutral. It's a scale advantage for large companies over small ones, baked into every filing deadline.
What Complexity Costs You Personally
Beyond the hours and the accountant fees, complexity costs you money you never see. Here's how:
You miss deductions you qualify for. The IRS estimates that taxpayers overpay by roughly $1 billion annually because they don't claim credits and deductions they're entitled to. The Earned Income Tax Credit alone goes unclaimed by an estimated 20% of eligible filers β that's millions of working families leaving thousands of dollars on the table because the form is too complicated.
You make mistakes you don't know about. The IRS sends 10+ million penalty notices per year, many for errors that stem from the complexity of the forms, not from intent to evade. You're penalized for failing to correctly navigate a system designed by accountants for accountants.
You avoid decisions that would make you richer. Should you open a Roth IRA or a traditional IRA? Take the standard deduction or itemize? Contribute to an HSA? Start a side business and deduct expenses? These are financially significant decisions that millions of people get wrong β or avoid entirely β because the tax implications are incomprehensible without professional help.
Complexity doesn't just cost you money at filing time. It distorts every financial decision you make throughout the year.
The Simple Math of Simplification
Here's the argument for radical tax simplification in one sentence: a simple tax code with no exemptions collects more revenue at lower rates because no one can avoid it.
Right now, the US federal tax code has an estimated $1.9 trillion in annual "tax expenditures" β revenue lost to deductions, credits, exclusions, and preferential rates. That's $1.9 trillion in carve-outs that primarily benefit those with the resources to claim them.
Eliminate the carve-outs, flatten the rates, and you could lower the top marginal rate substantially while collecting the same or more revenue. The base broadens because there's nowhere to hide. The rates drop because the base is broader. The compliance cost drops because there's nothing to calculate.
This isn't theory. Countries that have simplified their tax codes β Estonia's flat tax system, New Zealand's GST β consistently show higher compliance rates, lower administration costs, and comparable or higher revenue as a percentage of GDP. Estonia processes 95% of tax returns in under five minutes. Online. For free.
Five minutes. Compare that to your 13 hours and $270.
Why It Doesn't Happen
If simplification is so obviously better, why hasn't it happened? Because the 75,000 pages are worth trillions of dollars to the people who wrote them.
The tax preparation industry β H&R Block, Intuit, accounting firms β generates $14+ billion in annual revenue from the complexity of the tax code. They have spent millions lobbying against IRS Free File and any system that would let Americans file their taxes for free. They need the code to be complicated. Their business model depends on it.
Every industry with a tax carve-out has a lobbying operation to defend it. Real estate gets the mortgage interest deduction. Oil and gas gets depletion allowances. Private equity gets carried interest treatment. Each one adds pages to the code and dollars to the compliance burden β your dollars.
$4.4 billion was spent on lobbying in Washington in 2024 alone. The return on lobbying investment is estimated at $220 for every $1 spent. Tax complexity isn't an accident of governance. It's the most profitable product in American politics β and anti-corruption is the precondition for fixing it.
The tax code isn't complicated because taxes are inherently complicated. It's complicated because complexity is profitable for everyone except you.
What Changes for You
Imagine filing your taxes in 15 minutes. No accountant. No software. No anxiety about whether you missed something that'll trigger an audit two years from now. Your income, minus a standard amount, times a rate. Done.
That's not utopian. That's how it works in a dozen countries right now. The technology exists. The math works. What's missing is the political will to take on the industries that profit from complexity.
Here's what simplification means in your life:
- Your time back. Thirteen hours a year, every year, returned to you. For 150 million filers, that's 2 billion hours of American productivity currently burned on paperwork.
- Your money back. No more $270 for tax software. No more $3,000β$8,000 accountant fees for small business owners. No more $1 billion in unclaimed credits because the forms were too complicated.
- A level playing field. When there are no loopholes, everyone pays the same rate on the same base. The Fortune 500 company pays the same effective rate as the bakery. The billionaire pays the same effective rate as the teacher.
- Better decisions. When the tax code is simple, you can make financial decisions based on what's actually good for your life β not based on what an accountant tells you is "tax-advantaged."
Tax simplification isn't a policy proposal. It's the removal of a rigged system that costs you time, money, and opportunity every year while enriching the people who rigged it.
When the tax code fits on a page, there's nowhere to hide β and that's the point.
Policy updates. No filler.
New posts on the economic architecture β what's broken, why it persists, and what changes for you. Subscribe to stay current.